Archive for September, 2013

NFL 2013 Predictions

September 8, 2013 Leave a comment

Here we go. New year. New Blog. Thanks for reading. Here is a breakdown of my thoughts on the upcoming season.

The league will catch up to the read option this year, but it won’t get shut down like the wildcat. While this might hurt Colin Kaepernick, it won’t hurt RGIII or Russell Wilson, because they are pass first quarterbacks who happen to be world class athletes. Can’t say enough about these two — and they will likely torment me for years to come. RGIII will torch the Eagles for the next 10 years, while Russell Wilson (who the Eagles were one pick away from drafting in the 3rd round), will always be the one that got away. However, none of them will be as good as Andrew Luck, who is due for the big second year leap ala Peyton Manning, John Elway and Dan Marino.

EJ Manuel and Geno Smith will find out the hard way that they are not as good as last year’s rookie QB class. Manuel might have a few good years, boosted primarily by his athleticism. But when the league figures him out, expect a similar decline ala Vince Young. I hate everything about Geno Smith’s chances. Weak mentally, subpar athlete, and even worse passer. And it doesn’t help that he’s playing for a lame duck head coach and on a terrible team. But let’s put it this way: mid-way through the year, Jets fans should be calling for Mark Sanchez. That says all you need to know.

Adrian Peterson will be good this year, but he won’t be the top rusher in the league. That will be either LeSean McCoy, Jamaal Charles or Trent Richardson. Meanwhile, Arian Foster and Frank Gore are due for a big decline. 

Wes Welker will catch over 100 balls, and AJ Green v Calvin Johnson for the title of best wide receiver in the league will be a legitimate debate. While everyone quickly found out about Julius Thomas on Thursday night, they will also find out about Jordan Cameron soon. He won’t be as good, but he will be good enough.

Offensive Rookie of the Year: Giovani Bernard, RB, Cin: he was a stud at UNC, so I got to see plenty of him in action. Expect him to become a Darren Sproles like player for the Bengals. 

Defensive Rookie of the Year: Dion Jordan, OLB, Mia: He will be opposite Cameron Wake, which should give him less double teams to face. I expect him to put up good sack numbers, which always gets the attention of the voters.

NFL MVP: Peyton Manning. The offense is even better this year, with the additions of Wes Welker and Julius Thomas. And Manning won’t be throwing lame ducks on 20 yard outs like last year. They may not get it done in the postseason, but expect Manning to do big things this year.

5 teams that will miss the playoffs, but be a pain in the ass to play: 

Jacksonville Jaguars: Two words. Gus Bradley. And Morris Jones Drew. Ok, that was like eight words. But you get the point. The defense will be markedly improved, and the offense will rely heavily on a motivated MJD. They might not get to 8 wins, but it’ll be close.

Miami Dolphins: I hate the front office. But somehow they’ve managed to get a good young quarterback and running back combo. Mike Wallace is more flash than substance, but with the improved defense, they should be a tough team to play.

Kansas City Chiefs: I was tempted to put them in the playoffs, but I just think Reid’s notoriously complex offense will be hard to digest in one year. However, watch out next year.

St. Louis Rams: they’ve gotten younger and quietly built a stout defense. They’ve also finally invested in the offensive line, and given Sam Bradford some weapons to play with. If they weren’t in the NFC West, they might push for a playoff spot.

Philadephia Eagles: In Chip Kelly we trust. I don’t believe in Vick, and the defense will be atrocious. But that offense is going to be fun to watch. LeSean McCoy and Bryce Brown will be a potent one-two punch, and expect DeSean Jackson to become the explosive playmaker that Kelly had at Oregon.

NFC Playoff teams: Washington Redskins, Atlanta Falcons, New Orleans Saints, San Fransisco 49ers, Seattle Seahawks, and Green Bay Packers. 

AFC Playoff teams: New England Patriots, Indianapolis Colts, Cincinnati Bengals, Denver Broncos, Houston Texans and Pittsburg Steelers.

NFC Championship game: Atlanta Falcons v. Green Bay Packers

AFC Championship game: Denver Broncos v. New England Patriots

Super Bowl: Atlanta Falcons v. Denver Broncos

Super Bowl Champs: Atlanta Falcons: this is their year. Matt Ryan finally won a playoff game last year. The offense will be explosive. The defense improved. And I just getting the proverbial monkey off their back last year by finally winning a playoff game makes it easier for them to focus on the Super Bowl this year. 


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